RAVE-BC Day 11/6

Picks coming Friday night or early Saturday morning.

Charts by HorseRacingNation.com

2010 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (G2)

Date/Track:

11/6/2010, Churchill Downs

Distance:

1 1/16 m (Turf)

Age/Sex:

2 M

Positives (based on only 3 runnings)		Negatives
European (France preferred) Final prep in last 30 days Strong late kick Top Trainer Prior win at 7+ furlongs		Long layoff No US Graded Stakes win Wire-to-wire running style New top figure in final prep race

*Rank is current Power Ranking among all active horses, based on highest HRN rating. Rating is based on HRN member voting.

#	Silks	Horse / Sire	Rank	Rating	Trainer / Jockey	Last Start	HRN
1		Typhoon Slew Stormy Atlantic		5.07	M. Maker J. Leparoux	4th, 2010 Breeders' Futurity (G1)	15-1
2		Deciphering Dreams Freud		5.39	R. Dutrow R. Dominguez	3rd, 2010 Pilgrim (G3)	20-1
3		Mantoba Noverre		5.12	B. Meehan		5-1
4		Air Support Smart Strike	231	6.45	C. McGaughey R. Maragh	1st, 2010 Pilgrim (G3)	8-1
5		Master Of Hounds Kingmambo		5.12	A. O'Brien J. Murtagh	3rd, 2010 Racing Post Trophy (G1)	9-2
6		Utley Smart Strike		5.12	J. Gosden F. Dettori	5th, 2010 Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere (G1)	6-1
7		Willcox Inn Harlan's Holiday	352	6.19	M. Stidham G. Gomez	3rd, 2010 Breeders' Futurity (G1)	20-1
8		Banned Kitten's Joy		5.59	T. Proctor G. Gomez	1st, Kee Allow (10/17/2010-R5)	10-1
9		Soldat War Front	341	6.22	K. McLaughlin A. Garcia	2nd, 2010 Pilgrim (G3)	8-1
10		Madman Diaries Bring The Heat	325	6.26	W. Ward J. Sanchez	1st, 2010 Sapling (G3)	12-1
11		Rough Sailing Mizzen Mast		5.48	M. Stidham M. Baze	6th, 2010 Breeders' Futurity (G1)	15-1
12		Humble And Hungry Limehouse		5.80	I. Correas F. Jara	1st, Bel MSW (10/10/2010-R7)	20-1
13		Pluck More Than Ready	302	6.28	T. Pletcher G. Gomez	1st, 2010 Summer (C3)	6-1

2010 Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1)

Date/Track:

11/6/2010, Churchill Downs

Distance:

6 f (Dirt)

Age/Sex:

3+ M

Positives		Negatives
Win slot favors stalkers and wire-to-wire 80% of 4th place finishers are stalkers/closers Horse that runs fastest 2nd quarter wins most Sprints Win required at 6 furlongs during the year Strong bullet work, great recent form 106 Beyer/109 BRIS in one of last two preps 109+ Beyer lifetime Count on one CA horse to hit the board		Only once top 2 favorites hit the board Wire horses from outside posts (12+) Deep closers to win Less than 4 prep races No race at 6 furlongs during the year Horses exiting Keeneland prep have never won

*Rank is current Power Ranking among all active horses, based on highest HRN rating. Rating is based on HRN member voting.

#	Silks	Horse / Sire	Rank	Rating	Trainer / Jockey	Last Start	HRN
1		Big Drama Montbrook	49	7.15	D. Fawkes E. Coa	2nd, 2010 Forego (G1)	7-2
2		Girolamo A. P. Indy	26	7.32	S. bin Suroor A. Garcia	1st, 2010 Vosburgh (G1)
3		Wise Dan Wiseman's Ferry	109	6.84	C. Lopresti R. Bejarano	1st, 2010 Phoenix (G3)	10-1
4		Hamazing Destiny Salt Lake		5.05	D. Lukas M. Mena	3rd, Sar AlwOC (7/26/2010-R8)	20-1
5		Smiling Tiger Hold That Tiger	122	6.80	J. Bonde R. Baze	1st, 2010 Ancient Title (G1)	6-1
6		Pashito The Che Flatter		4.77	G. Zerpa A. Castellano	3rd, Pha Allow (9/12/2010-R8)	15-1
7		Kinsale King Yankee Victor	163	6.64	C. O'Callaghan K. Fallon	12th, 2010 July Cup (G1)	8-1
8		Cash Refund Petionville	328	6.24	S. Margolis B. Hernandez	3rd, 2010 Iowa Sprint (LS)	20-1
9		Supreme Summit Cactus Ridge		5.26	M. Puype R. Bejarano	2nd, 2010 Ancient Title (G1)	15-1
10		Riley Tucker Harlan's Holiday	38	7.24	S. Asmussen R. Dominguez	2nd, 2010 Vosburgh (G1)	8-1
11		Atta Boy Roy Tribunal	495	5.95	V. Lund C. Borel	8th, 2010 Woodford (G3)	12-1
12		Warrior's Reward Medaglia D'oro	80	6.96	I. Wilkes J. Leparoux	3rd, 2010 Phoenix (G3)	12-1

2010 Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (G2)

Date/Track:

11/6/2010, Churchill Downs

Distance:

5 f (Turf)

Age/Sex:

3+ M

Positives		Negatives
California based Strong works Multiple turf sprint wins 2nd or 3rd off of a layoff Strong prior race at host track BRIS 2nd call 108+ in final prep		Route to sprint Synthetic or dirt to turf New top in final prep Super deep closer No graded stakes wins

*Rank is current Power Ranking among all active horses, based on highest HRN rating. Rating is based on HRN member voting.

#	Silks	Horse / Sire	Rank	Rating	Trainer / Jockey	Last Start	HRN
1		Chamberlain Bridge War Chant	135	6.90	W. Calhoun J. Theriot	4th, 2010 Woodford (G3)	6-1
2		Central City City Place		5.54	R. Werner R. Albarado	2nd, 2010 Woodford (G3)	12-1
3		Stradivinsky Stravinsky		5.67	R. Dutrow C. Lopez	1st, 2010 Jaipur (G3)	15-1
4		Unzip Me City Zip		5.54	M. Jones R. Bejarano	1st, 2010 Senator Ken Maddy (G3)	8-1
5		Silver Timber Prime Timber	143	6.71	C. Brown J. Leparoux	1st, 2010 Woodford (G3)	4-1
6		Waveline Stravinsky		4.92	B. Cecil C. Nakatani	2nd, 2010 Senator Ken Maddy (G3)	20-1
7		Bridgetown Speightstown		5.37	K. McPeek E. Trujillo	5th, 2010 Nearctic (C1)	12-1
8		Quick Enough High Brite	388	6.14	D. O'Neill P. Valenzuela	1st, 2010 Morvich Handicap (G3)	8-1
9		Rose Catherine Speightstown	263	6.36	T. Pletcher J. Castellano	1st, 2010 Turf Amazon Hcp (LS)	6-1
10		Due Date El Prado		5.67	S. Margolis T. Farina	3rd, 2010 Woodford (G3)	15-1
11		Grand Adventure Grand Slam	216	6.49	M. Frostad P. Husbands	2nd, 2010 Nearctic (C1)	12-1
12		California Flag Avenue Of Flags	28	7.30	B. Koriner J. Talamo	11th, 2010 Woodford (G3)	12-1
13		Tropic Storm Stormy Atlantic		5.94	C. Dollase R. Baze	3rd, 2010 Oak Tree Mile (G2)	15-1
14		Canadian Ballet City Zip	204	6.52	L. Rice K. Desormeaux	2nd, 2010 Buffalo Trace Franklin County (LS)	20-1
15		Yield Bogey Langfuhr		4.05	P. Kelly J. Samyn	6th, 2010 Basket Weave (LS)	50-1

2010 Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1)

Date/Track:

11/6/2010, Churchill Downs

Distance:

1 1/16 m (Dirt)

Age/Sex:

2 M

Positives		Negatives
Stalkers dominate, especially at CD Closers best for place and show 90% of 4th spot taken by stalkers/closers Good mid-race move in last race Beyer/BRIS top figure in last or last two Increasing figures as the distance increases		Outside post at CD Only one prep race prior to BC More than 60-day layoff Wire-to-wire in 3rd/4th spot

*Rank is current Power Ranking among all active horses, based on highest HRN rating. Rating is based on HRN member voting.

#	Silks	Horse / Sire	Rank	Rating	Trainer / Jockey	Last Start	HRN
1		Biondetti Bernardini		5.59	M. Zarooni A. Ajtebi	1st, 2010 Grand Criterium (G1)	12-1
2		Boys At Tosconova Officer	56	7.09	R. Dutrow R. Dominguez	1st, 2010 Three Chimneys Hopeful (G1)	5-1
3		J. B.'s Thunder Thunder Gulch	69	7.40	A. Stall S. Bridgmohan	1st, 2010 Breeders' Futurity (G1)	12-1
4		J P's Gusto Successful Appeal	66	7.09	D. Hofmans P. Valenzuela	2nd, 2010 Norfolk (G1)	10-1
5		Riveting Reason Fusaichi Pegasus	342	6.21	M. Cho V. Espinoza	3rd, 2010 Norfolk (G1)	30-1
6		Stay Thirsty Bernardini	136	6.74	T. Pletcher J. Velazquez	2nd, 2010 Three Chimneys Hopeful (G1)	8-1
7		Uncle Mo Indian Charlie	54	7.20	T. Pletcher J. Velazquez	1st, 2010 Champagne (G1)	7-5
8		Murjan Officer		4.47	D. Miller C. Herrera	1st, 2010 Pollo de Potrillos (Peruvian 2000 Guineas) (G1)	30-1
9		Rogue Romance Smarty Jones	123	6.80	K. McPeek J. Leparoux	1st, 2010 Bourbon (G3)	30-1
10		Jaycito Victory Gallop	39	7.24	M. Mitchell M. Smith	1st, 2010 Norfolk (G1)	8-1

2010 Breeders' Cup Mile (G1)

Date/Track:

11/6/2010, Churchill Downs

Distance:

1 mile (Turf)

Age/Sex:

3+ M

Positives		Negatives
Win at Mile distance a must Raced in BC Mile before Stalker running style has won 60%+ of races Closers dominate bottom of Tris/Supers Exiting a French prep (for Euros) 2nd or 3rd off layoff Plus for frontrunners from posts 1 thru 4		Wire-to-wire horses for win and place No Grade 1 win for Euros 35+ day layoff for US, 70+ for Euro's New top figure in last race Favorites hit Super only 1/2 of the time 3-year-old running vs. older first time

*Rank is current Power Ranking among all active horses, based on highest HRN rating. Rating is based on HRN member voting.

#	Silks	Horse / Sire	Rank	Rating	Trainer / Jockey	Last Start	HRN
1		Beethoven Oratorio		5.21	A. O'Brien R. Moore	4th, 2010 Queen Elizabeth II (G1)	20-1
2		Society's Chairman Not Impossible	289	6.31	R. Attfield J. Leparoux	2nd, 2010 Shadwell Turf Mile (G1)	20-1
3		Gio Ponti Tale Of The Cat	20	7.45	C. Clement R. Dominguez	1st, 2010 Shadwell Turf Mile (G1)	4-1
4		Court Vision Gulch	18	7.46	R. Dutrow R. Albarado	1st, 2010 Woodbine Mile (G1)	12-1
5		Delegator Dansili		5.67	S. bin Suroor F. Dettori	5th, 2009 Breeders' Cup Mile (G1)	12-1
6		Paco Boy Desert Style	105	6.86	R. Hannon R. Hughes	2nd, 2010 Prix de la Foret (G1)	6-1
7		The Usual Q. T. Unusual Heat	31	7.28	J. Cassidy V. Espinoza	2nd, 2010 Woodbine Mile (G1)	15-1
8		Get Stormy Stormy Atlantic	203	6.52	T. Bush J. Castellano	4th, 2010 Shadwell Turf Mile (G1)	20-1
9		Sidney's Candy Candy Ride	21	7.40	J. Sadler J. Rosario	1st, 2010 La Jolla Hcp (G2)	10-1
10		Goldikova Anabaa	3	8.57	F. Head O. Peslier	1st, 2010 Prix de la Foret (G1)	6-5
11		Proviso Dansili	7	8.04	W. Mott M. Smith	1st, 2010 First Lady (G1)	12-1

2010 Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (G1)

Date/Track:

11/6/2010, Churchill Downs

Distance:

1 mile (Dirt)

Age/Sex:

3+ M

Positives (based on only 3 runnings)		Negatives
Off the pace running style 1st or 2nd off the layoff Stakes win at a mile BRIS = 103+ in last prep		Wire-to-wire running style Sprint to Route Poor work 6+ year old

*Rank is current Power Ranking among all active horses, based on highest HRN rating. Rating is based on HRN member voting.

#	Silks	Horse / Sire	Rank	Rating	Trainer / Jockey	Last Start	HRN
1		Dakota Phone Zavata	485	6.03	J. Hollendorfer P. Valenzuela	3rd, 2010 Goodwood (G1)	30-1
2		Tizway Tiznow	104	6.86	H. Bond R. Maragh	1st, 2010 Kelso (G2)	6-1
3		Aikenite Yes It's True	148	6.69	T. Pletcher J. Velazquez	1st, Kee Allow (10/15/2010-R8)	50-1
4		Mad Flatter Flatter	383	6.14	J. Thornbury J. Court	1st, 2010 Spend A Buck (G3)	12-1
5		Here Comes Ben Street Cry	23	7.37	C. Lopresti A. Solis	1st, 2010 Forego (G1)	6-1
6		Gayego Gilded Time	44	7.17	S. bin Suroor A. Garcia	1st, 2010 Presque Isle Mile (LS)	6-1
7		Thiskyhasnolimit Sky Mesa	249	6.41	S. Asmussen J. Theriot	2nd, 2010 Indiana Derby (G2)	10-1
8		Crown Of Thorns Repent	68	7.03	R. Mandella R. Bejarano	2nd, 2010 Goodwood (G1)	4-1
9		Hurricane Ike Graeme Hall		5.31	J. Sadler J. Rosario	3rd, 2010 Super Derby (G2)	20-1
10		Morning Line Tiznow	324	6.26	N. Zito J. Velazquez	1st, 2010 Pennsylvania Derby (G2)	7-2
11		Mine That Bird Birdstone	205	6.52	D. Lukas R. Maragh	7th, 2010 Woodward (G1)	20-1
12		Vineyard Haven Lido Palace	79	6.96	S. bin Suroor A. Garcia	3rd, 2010 Forego (G1)	10-1
13		Cool Coal Man Mineshaft	98	6.89	N. Zito J. Leparoux	2nd, 2010 Kelso (G2)	20-1

2010 Breeders' Cup Turf (G1)

Date/Track:

11/6/2010, Churchill Downs

Distance:

1 1/2m (Turf)

Age/Sex:

3+ M

Positives		Negatives
Win spot dominated by closers and 2nd by stalkers/closers Sharp race or any finish in the Arc Win at 1 1/2 mile distance Peak effort in last + competitive in G1 races Euro's have dominated with 1 runner hitting the board every year		Only 2 wire-to-wire winners, but both at CD. Wire types do hang around for 3rd/4th Less than 3 races in campaign 50+ day layoff 6 year-old and up No preps at 1 1/4 or 1 1/2 distance Gelding

*Rank is current Power Ranking among all active horses, based on highest HRN rating. Rating is based on HRN member voting.

#	Silks	Horse / Sire	Rank	Rating	Trainer / Jockey	Last Start	HRN
1		Champ Pegasus Fusaichi Pegasus		5.28	R. Mandella J. Rosario	1st, 2010 Hirsch Turf Championship (G1)	10-1
2		Winchester Theatrical	29	7.29	C. Clement C. Velasquez	1st, 2010 Joe Hirsch Turf Classic (G1)	8-1
3		Telling A. P. Indy	67	7.03	S. Hobby J. Castellano	5th, 2010 Joe Hirsch Turf Classic (G1)	20-1
4		Debussy Diesis	48	7.15	J. Gosden W. Buick	3rd, 2010 Champion (G1)	10-1
5		Al Khali Medaglia D'oro	58	7.09	W. Mott A. Garcia	4th, 2010 Canadian Int. (C1)	10-1
6		Workforce King's Best	2	8.58	S. Stoute R. Moore	1st, 2010 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (G1)	7-5
7		Behkabad Cape Cross	395	6.12	J. Roget C. Lemaire	4th, 2010 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (G1)	9-5
8		Dangerous Midge Lion Heart	175	6.59	B. Meehan M. Dwyer	1st, 2010 Arc Trial (G3)	12-1

2010 Breeders' Cup Classic (G1)

Date/Track:

11/6/2010, Churchill Downs

Distance:

1 1/4 m (Dirt)

Age/Sex:

3+ M

Positives		Negatives
All running styles can win but rally types preferred 2nd is dominated by stalkers 82% of 3rd place finishers are stalkers/closers 60% of 4th are closers Wire types finish less than 20% in each of 2nd, 3rd and 4th slots Must have run a sharp last race + sharp Grade 1 race during campaign		Fave runs 1st-2nd 60% Less than three starts in the campaign No wins at 1 1/8 miles and up Never run at the 1 ¼ distance Posted a new Beyer/BRIS top figure in previous race (unless a 3 year old) Travers winners are 0-12 Gelding

*Rank is current Power Ranking among all active horses, based on highest HRN rating. Rating is based on HRN member voting.

#	Silks	Horse / Sire	Rank	Rating	Trainer / Jockey	Last Start	HRN
1		Quality Road Elusive Quality	5	8.34	T. Pletcher J. Velazquez	1st, 2010 Woodward (G1)	5-1
2		Paddy O'Prado El Prado	37	7.25	D. Romans K. Desormeaux	2nd, 2010 Joe Hirsch Turf Classic (G1)	15-1
3		Haynesfield Speightstown	16	7.48	S. Asmussen R. Dominguez	1st, 2010 Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1)
4		First Dude Stephen Got Even	22	7.38	D. Romans R. Albarado	2nd, 2010 Pennsylvania Derby (G2)	15-1
5		Blame Arch	4	8.46	A. Stall G. Gomez	2nd, 2010 Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1)	9-2
6		Fly Down Mineshaft	15	7.49	N. Zito J. Lezcano	3rd, 2010 Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1)	15-1
7		Musket Man Yonaguska	11	7.59	D. Ryan E. Coa	2nd, 2010 Monmouth Cup (G2)	20-1
8		Zenyatta Street Cry	1	9.38	J. Shirreffs M. Smith	1st, 2010 Lady's Secret (G1)	8-5
9		Pleasant Prince Indy King	189	6.55	W. Ward J. Rosario	1st, 2010 Oklahoma Derby (LS)	30-1
10		Etched Forestry	24	7.36	K. McLaughlin E. Castro	1st, 2010 Monmouth Cup (G2)	30-1
11		Espoir City Gold Allure	183	6.57	A. Adachi T. Sato	1st, TOK Stakes (2/21/2010-R1)
12		Lookin At Lucky Smart Strike	6	8.12	B. Baffert M. Garcia	1st, 2010 Indiana Derby (G2)	6-1