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Wednesday, December 15, 2010

RAVE- NFL (NOTES) Wk 15

Week 15 - Thursday December 16, 2010

SAN FRANCISCO @ SAN DIEGO

8:20 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







301 SFO -F243 A280 5 21

44.5

(5-8) (1-5 A)







302 SDG -F354 A253 20 25

-9

(7-6) (5-2 H)







Line Movements

Bolts are 22-10-1 vs. line from 8th week in reg. season onward since ‘07. Norv is 5-1 in role TY.

Singletary is 9-2 his last 11 as dog (2-1 TY).


Week 15 - Sunday December 19, 2010

KANSAS CITY @ ST. LOUIS

1:00 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







303 KAN -F295 A268 1 3 4 8 17 19

NL

(8-5) (2-5 A)







304 STL -F245 A268 21

-1.5

(6-7) (4-2 H)







Line Movements

Rams have covered 9 of last 12, including 4 of last 5 at home.

The Rams have allowed just three rushing touchdowns at home this season.

Croyle is 0-10 as a starter in his career.

HOUSTON @ TENNESSEE

1:00 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







305 HOU -F316 A355 4

47.5

(5-8) (2-4 A)







306 TEN -F291 A265 23

-1.5

(5-8) (2-5 H)







Line Movements

Texans are 30-14 ATS after two or more consecutive losses.

Jeff Fisher is 3-6 ATS when favored after 2+ consecutive losses since 2002.

Titans are only 1-5 vs. line last 6 on board.

Houston is only 2-7 vs. number itself over last 9 on board, but one of those was a 20-0 win over Titans

Kubiak has now won and covered 3 of last 4 vs. Fisher after Titans had won and covered previous five meetings.

JACKSONVILLE @ INDIANAPOLIS

1:00 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







307 JAC -F295 A331 3

NL

(8-5) (3-3 A)







308 IND -F347 A318 4

-5

(7-6) (4-2 H)







Line Movements

15 of the last 17 meetings have been decided by 8 points or fewer (Colts 12-5).

No team has swept both point-spread decisions any season between these two since the current AFC South was formed in 2002, Jags won and covered first meeting TY.

The Jaguars rushed for more than 200 yards for the third game in a row last Sunday.

Jags have covered last 3 and 5 of last 6 meetings at Indy

Colts have no covers in last 3 at home TY

Del Rio has covered his last 6 games in ‘10.

Peyton Manning has completed 71% of his passes over the past four games, but he also has 11 interceptions in that span.

ARIZONA @ CAROLINA

1:00 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







309 ARI -F243 A351 3

38

(4-9) (1-5 A)







310 CAR -F164 A338 4 24 25

-2.5

(1-12) (1-6 H)







Line Movements CAR has been eliminated from playoff contention

Teams with two or fewer wins are just 1-10 against the spread when favored.

The Panthers have won 7 of 10 previous meetings. But all three of Arizona’s wins in the series have come at Carolina.

Clausen has failed to throw a touchdown pass in six of his seven starts

Panthers are 0-2 as chalk TY and 1-6 vs. number as host TY

John Fox is 3-7 ATS as a favorite after 2+ consecutive losses.

Oh, and if you're worried about Arizona playing an early game on the East Coast, don't be. The last time the Cardinals were in this situation, they won at Jacksonville, 31-17, as three-point underdogs.

CLEVELAND @ CINCINNATI

1:00 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







311 CLE -F235 A252 1 3

40

(5-8) (2-5 A)







312 CIN -F262 A345

-2

(2-11) (1-5 H)







Line Movements CIN & CLE have been eliminated from playoff contention

Marvin Lewis is 1-7 ATS as a favorite after 2+ consecutive losses.

Since 2002, teams with two or fewer wins are just 1-10 against the spread when favored.

Cincy is 2-8 vs. line last 10 in 2010.

Browns have covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 in series.

If Marvin Lewis is favored he’s 0-3 in role at home TY, 0-9 as home chalk since ‘09.

Carson Palmer leads the league with 5 pick-sixes this season and has 15.since 2004

BUFFALO @ MIAMI

1:00 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







313 BUF -F256 A339 21 27

41

(3-10) (1-5 A)







314 MIA -F225 A244 5

-5.5

(7-6) (1-5 H)







Line Movements BUF has been eliminated from playoff contention

Dolphins are 0-7 ATS as favorites of 3.5 or more under Tony Sparano.

Tony Sparano is 0-6 ATS as a favorite coming off a SU win as an underdog.

Dolphins are 2-4 vs. line at home TY, now 5-14 last 19 vs. spread as host for Sparano.

Sparano, however, is 4-1 SU and vs. line against Bills.

PHILADELPHIA @ NEW YORK

1:00 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







315 PHI -F374 A308 4 9

46

(9-4) (5-2 A)







316 NYG -F329 A250 11

-3

(9-4) (5-2 H)







Line Movements

Manning has struggled against the Eagles in recent matchups; in his past three games against Philly, Manning is 67-of-110, 760 yards, three touchdowns and eight interceptions.

Birds dominating lately, winning and covering last 5 meetings.

Andy Reid is 0-2 as dog TY and 1-6 in role since LY

WASHINGTON @ DALLAS

1:00 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







317 WAS -F238 A310 3 4

45

(5-8) (3-3 A)







318 DAL -F321 A366 9

-6

(4-9) (1-6 H)







Line Movements DAL & WAS have been eliminated from playoff contention

Six of the previous eight matchups have been decided by six points or fewer.

Road dogs coming off three or more consecutive losses coming into the game tend to cover at a decent percentage.

Dallas has covered five straight since Jason Garrett was promoted to HC role.

The Shan has lost 5 of last 6 TY (2-4 vs. line in those games).

Skins have covered 6 of last 8 meetings

DETROIT @ TAMPA BAY

1:00 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







319 DET -F285 A309 21

43

(3-10) (0-6 A)







320 TAM -F260 A267 4

-6

(8-5) (3-3 H)







Line Movements DET has been eliminated from playoff contention

Buccaneers are 2-11 ATS at home under Raheem Morris.

Bucs amazingly have covered just once at home TY.

Lions are 10-3 vs. line this season.

NEW ORLEANS @ BALTIMORE

1:00 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







321 NOR -F330 A240 3 26

43.5

(10-3) (5-1 A)







322 BAL -F294 A229

-1.5

(9-4) (5-1 H)







Line Movements

In its previous six games, Baltimore has surrendered 21 sacks.

Baltimore has one of the worst average yards per carry in the NFL

Drew Brees is 29-18 ATS as a dog.

Drew Brees is 24-16 ATS off back-to-back wins.

Drew Brees has 18 interceptions, which ties the career worst he set in 2007.

Saints are just 2-7 vs. number last nine as reg.-season visitor.

ATLANTA @ SEATTLE

4:05 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







323 ATL -F335 A243 26

-6

(11-2) (5-2 A)







324 SEA -F261 A329 4 21

45

(6-7) (4-2 H)







Line Movements

Pete Carroll is 4-2 vs. line a home TY.

Seahawks are 11-5 vs. spread last 16 at Qwest Field.

The Falcons have not won in Seattle since 1997 and are 1-4 there all time.

Atlanta has covered their last 5 in 2010 and are 9-4 overall vs. line TY.

When the Seahawks lose, they lose big. In their seven losses this season, they have lost by an average of 21.4 points.

NEW YORK @ PITTSBURGH

4:15 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







325 NYJ -F273 A242 2 4

36

(9-4) (5-1 A)







326 PIT -F290 A198

-6

(10-3) (4-2 H)







Line Movements

Jets are 2-5 vs. line last 7 TY, but 2-1 as dog and 7-4 as dog for Rex Ryan since LY.

Steelers are 5-4 as chalk TY but just 9-15 last 24 in role.

Sanchez has a 79.4 passer rat­ing with nine touchdown passes and seven in­terceptions on the road this season.

DENVER @ OAKLAND

4:15 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







327 DEN -F269 A376 1 17

NL

(3-10) (1-6 A)







328 OAK -F314 A307

-6.5

(6-7) (4-2 H)







Line Movements DEN has been eliminated from playoff contention

Broncos were destroyed by Raiders 59-14 in last meeting. Note, however, that road team has won and covered last 5 meetings, with Denver romping in last two at Coliseum.

Broncos are just 7-16 their last 23 on board since mid ‘09.

Raiders are 2-2 as home chalk TY but 2-12 last 14 in role.

The Raiders are 4-0 vs. division opponents

GREEN BAY @ NEW ENGLAND

8:20 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







329 GNB -F306 A189 2 4 5 10 13 g2

NL

(8-5) (3-4 A)







330 NWE -F415 A276 20

-11

(11-2) (6-0 H)







Line Movements NE has secured a playoff berth.

New England has not committed a turnover in 5 consecutive games, the longest streak in NFL history

Packers are 17-5 in their last 22 as dog since late ‘06 (1-1 in role TY).

The Packers were shut out the last time they played New England. The Patriots rolled to a 35-0 victory Nov. 19, 2006, at Green Bay.


Week 15 - Monday December 20, 2010

CHICAGO @ MINNESOTA

8:30 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







331 CHI -F253 A228 4 12 15 17

-2.5

(9-4) (5-1 A)







332 MIN -F230 A274 21 29

NL

(5-8) (4-3 H)







Line Movements MIN has been eliminated from playoff contention

A Minnesota Vikings executive says next Monday night's game against the Chicago Bears will definitely be played at the University of Minnesota's TCF Bank Stadium. (Outdoors)

Bears are 5-1 SU and 3-2-1 vs. line since bye week.

Vikings are 2-1 SU and vs. line for Leslie Frazier.

Vikes are 4-1 SU and vs. line last 5 as series host, but were beaten 27-13 at Chicago last month.

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