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In case you showed up here by mistake, a few things you'll need to know.
First, as the title implies, the woodshed is a place where you can get a verbal ass-whoopin' or we can share a few sips of some of Kosmo's sweet but powerful home-brewed picks, pans, rants and raves. The choice is yours.
Second, I'm retired. that means I have no schedule. I do what I want when I want. That includes answering questions or posting my picks. The only thing that will make that change is sending me money. (Fat chance that'll happen.)
Finally, I'm a gambler, not good enough to make a living at it, but good enough to keep the frig full of brews and smoke a good cigar occasionally
( I'm very partial to NoCal free-rolls ).
That's it. I hope you can use some of the info here to make yourself some money.
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PS: There's always some good info. at the very bottom of the page!!

Wednesday, September 14, 2011

NFL Tech Trends - Week 2

NFL Tech Trends - Week 2
Sunday, Sept. 18 - All games to start at 1:00 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Chicago Bears at New Orleans Saints Saints bounced back well from defeats LY, covering 3 of 4 in reg. season. But NO only 16-20-1 vs. line since Super Bowl year of '09, and 10-19-1 last 30 on board, and 5-8 last 13 as home chalk. Lovie was 4-1 as road dog LY after 0-5 mark in role previous year. Bears 'under' 9-5-2 away since '09. Bears, based on team trends.
Kansas City Chiefs at Detroit Lions Lions now 14-3 vs. line since 2010, and have covered last ten on board since late LY if counting the four preseaosn games this summer. Detroit also 7-1 vs. points at Ford Field LY, and 'over' 7-2-1 last 10 at home as well. Lions and slight to 'over,' based on team and 'totals' trends.
Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Jets Jags were 'over' 6-2 away LY and 'over' 11-6 overall since 2010. Jets 'over' 19-6 last 25 since late '09, but only 6-9 as home chalk for Rex Ryan. 'Over,' based on "totals" trends.
Oakland Raiders at Buffalo Bills Raiders alternated spread losses and wins on road throughout 2010; by that trend they're due for an "L" at Orchard Park. Slight to Bills, based on Raiders' spread peculiarities.
Arizona Cardinals at Washington Redskins Cards dropped 6 of last 7 vs. spread on road LY and are now 2-9 against line last 11 as visitor. Whisenhunt also 'over' 13-5-1 last 19. Interestingly, Skins were never a home favorite in 2010, afer 4-10 mark in role '07-09. Skins and slight to "over," based on recent Cards marks.
Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans Ravens 4-1 as road chalk LY. Titans 'over' 11-7-1 last 19 at home. Slight to Ravens and 'over,' based on team and 'totals' trends.
Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers Pete Carroll only 2-8 vs. line on road since LY, and Seattle now 3-15 vs. spread away since '09 and 3-16 last 18 since late '08. Carroll also 'over' 8-2 away since LY and Seattle 'over' 15-5 last 19 away. Steel 'over' 5-5 at home LY and 'over' 55-30 last 85 at Heinz Field. Steel also 6-2 as home chalk LY after 2-5 mark in '09, and Mike Tomlin covered all four games after a SU loss last season. 'Over' and Steelers, based on 'totals' and team trends.
Green Bay Packers at Carolina Panthers Pack 15-7 vs. line last 22 away. Pack also 8-5 last 13 as road chalk. Carolina 4-12 vs. mark at home LY and "under" 14-4 last 18 at Charlotte. Pack and 'under,' based on team and 'totals' trends.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Minnesota Vikings Bucs completing the rounds vs. old NFC Central foes. Vikes 6-10-1 vs. line since 2010, while Bucs were 7-1 vs. spread away LY, now 9-1 last 10 vs. line away. Bucs, based on team trends.
Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts Hard to gauge Colts in respect to past marks now without Manning. With Manning, Colts were 'under' 6-2 last 8 as host LY (Indy was a great 'over' team on road, 7-1 LY). Browns have now dropped 8 of last 9 vs. spread since 2010. Browns 'under' 10-7 last 17 away. Slight to 'under' and Colts, based on 'totals' and team trends.

Sunday, Sept. 18 - All games to start at 4:15 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers Only 9-15 vs. number its last 23 away and 3-9 last 12 as road chalk. Dallas also 'over' 14-3 since 2010, 49ers 'over' 6-2 at Stick since LY. SF 12-5-2 vs. line last 19 as host. "Over" and 49ers, based on "totals" and team trends.
Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins Kubiak 'over' 13-6 last 18 since late '09. Sparano 'over' 13-4 st home since '09. Miami also only 5-17 vs. spread last 22 at home after Monday loss to Patriots. Texans and 'over,' based on team and 'totals' trends.
San Diego Chargers at New England Patriots Norv 0-3-1 vs. line in first road game of season as SD coach, and only 4-8-1 vs. line in first 3 games of season since 2007. Norv "over" 13-6-1 last 20 away, Belichick 'over' 16-3 last 19 since late '09, although these two went 'under' LY at Qualcomm. 'Over' and Patriots, based on 'totals' and Norv trends.
Cincinnati Bengals at Denver Broncos Marvin Lewis 4-9 vs. line last 12 away, although Broncs just 4-10 vs. points last 14 at home after Monday loss to Oakland. Denver also 'over' 17-5 since late '09. 'Over,' based on Broncos 'totals' trends.

Sunday, Sept. 18 - NBC, 8:25 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Philadelphia Eagles at Atlanta Falcons Bird battle in the Georgia Dome. Even after loss in Chicago opener, Falcs have covered 7 of last 9 in reg. season LY but will be looking to revenge 31-17 loss at Philly last Oct. 17. Philly 'over' 8-2 last 10 away, Falcs 'over' 5-3-1 at home LY. 'Over,' based on 'totals' trends.

Monday, Sept. 19 - ESPN, 8:30 ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
St. Louis Rams at New York Giants Spagnuolo vs. former employer. G-Men just 4-10 last 14 as home chalk, also 'over' 20-13 at home since '07. Rams and slight to 'over,' based on team and 'totals' trends.

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