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Thursday, September 8, 2011

Vegas Notes:

Sharp moves of the week include the Steelers, Rams and Saints. The public plays will continue to be with the Browns, Texans, Falcons, Eagles, Giants, Cardinals and Patriots.

The surprise off the public list this week is the Chargers as it looks like last season is still stinging with many of their backers. Reports have seen pretty balanced action, or at least far less one-sided than most Charger games, with the Vikings finding some supporters in hopes of Norv Turner remaining Norv Turner this season.

Here's a look at the biggest movers in pro football through Thursday compared to the Las Vegas Hilton's initial week one opening lines of April 23:

  • The Ravens opened -3 (EV) against the Steelers and are now -1 ½.
  • The Buccaneers opened as 3-point home favorites against the Lions, got early Lions money and have now bounced around from -1 ½ to -2 where it sits now.
  • Chicago opened as 1-point favorites and are now +3 (-120) against the Falcons.
  • Kansas City opened -6 ½ against the Bills, dropped to -5 ½ and then bet back up to -6.
  • Cleveland opened -3 (EV) against the Bengals and quickly moved up to -6 ½.
  • Jacksonville was a -2 ½ home favorite against Tennessee, went up to -3, and then off the board when David Garrard was released. It went back up as Jacksonville -2 and has stayed there showing the lack of respect for Garrard and also showing the impact of great QB's when comparing Manning.
  • Arizona opened as a 3-point home favorite against Carolina and were quickly bet up to -7 after watching Kolb and Fitzgerald play catch in the pre-season.
  • The 49ers were -6 ½ against the Seahawks and have been bet down to -5.
  • San Diego opened -10 ½ and were bet against early down to -9 and finally -8 ½ where it sits now.
  • The Jets opened -4 and were bet up to -4 ½, then got action on Thursday forcing a move to the dead number of -5 ½, skipping -5 altogether.
  • New England opened -3 ½ and has been bet up to -7.
  • Denver opened as -1 ½ home-favorites and were moved to -3 on a combination of bets and air moves due to Broncos looking much improved and the Raiders looking awful in pre-season.

    College Football Moves of the Week:

  • Wisconsin got early sharp action at -19 ½ and was bet up to -21 where it sits now against Oregon State.
  • Kentucky moved from -11 ½ to -13 in their home against Central Michigan.
  • SMU opened as a -17-point home favorite against UTEP and moved quickly up the ladder to -20 until finding some takers dropping it back to -19 where it sits now.
  • Tulane has found a lot of sharp play at +14 all the way down to +11 ½, where it sits now, for their home game against Tulsa.
  • East Carolina has been bet on for their home game against Virginia Tech taking +20 all the way down to +17 ½ where it sits now.
  • Washington was mysteriously put up as a -3 ½-point favorite in what looks kind of like a shady opening number that many sports books followed and was quickly bet up to -6 against Hawaii where it sits now.
  • Stanford found some early action at -20 ½ at Duke, but sharp action took the +21 dropping the game back down where the public will continue to lay Stanford.
  • Florida has been bet from -21 ½ to -23 in their home game against UAB.
  • USC opened -10 in their home game against Utah have been bet against down to -8 ½.
  • Ball State sharp action came fast at +22 ½ for their road game at South Florida and currently sits at -20.
  • Vanderbilt was a surprise pick'em for their home game against Connecticut, and even more surprisingly, was bet up to a 2-point favorite. UConn money has showed a little and it currently sits at Vandy -1 ½.
  • Arkansas State has moved from -13 ½ to -15 against Memphis.
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