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Finally, I'm a gambler, not good enough to make a living at it, but good enough to keep the frig full of brews and smoke a good cigar occasionally
( I'm very partial to NoCal free-rolls ).
That's it. I hope you can use some of the info here to make yourself some money.
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PS: There's always some good info. at the very bottom of the page!!

Wednesday, November 3, 2010

RAVE-BC Ladies Day 11/5

Picks coming Thursday night or early Friday morning.

Charts by HorseRacingNation.com

2010 Breeders' Cup Marathon (G3)

Date/Track:
11/5/2010, Churchill Downs
Distance:
1 3/4 m (Dirt)
Age/Sex:
3+ M

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf 2010
Positives
Negatives
  • European shipper
  • Prior win at 1 1/2+ miles
  • Deep closer

  • Front runner
  • Weak closer
  • No race at 1 1/2 mile distance or greater
*Rank is current Power Ranking among all active horses, based on highest HRN rating. Rating is based on HRN member voting.
#SilksHorse / SireRankRatingTrainer / JockeyLast StartHRN
1Atoned
Repent

5.26
N. Howard
C. Lanerie
3rd, 2010 Turfway Fall Championship (G3)

20-1
2Prince Will I Am
Victory Gallop
413
6.11
M. Nihei
J. Lezcano
1st, 2010 Jamaica Hdcp. (G1) View Video

4-1
3Million Seller
A. P. Indy

4.19
H. Motion
E. Coa
7th, 2010 Politely (LS)

50-1
4Eldaafer
A. P. Indy
182
6.57
D. Alvarado
J. Court
1st, 2010 Turfway Fall Championship (G3)

12-1
5Romp
Incurable Optimist

4.93
J. Sheppard
J. Velazquez
8th, Sar AlwOC (9/5/2010-R1)

50-1
6Gabriel's Hill
A. P. Indy

4.45
S. Benzel
E. Coa
4th, Bel AlwOC (9/29/2010-R3)

20-1
7Awesome Gem
Awesome Again
100
6.88
C. Dollase
D. Flores
5th, 2010 Goodwood (G1) View Video

7-2
8Giant Oak
Giant's Causeway
290
6.31
C. Block
E. Perez
2nd, 2010 Hawthorne Gold Cup (G2)

4-1
9Bright Horizon
Galileo

5.45
A. O'Brien


10-1
10Alcomo
Rainbow Corner

5.19
E. Caramori
C. Velasquez
2nd, 2010 Greenwood Cup (LS)

6-1
11Precision Break
Silver Deputy


P. Cole
J. Spencer
16th, 2010 Cesarewitch Handicap (LS) View Video

15-1
12A. U. Miner
Mineshaft
264
6.36
C. Hanna
F. Pennington
3rd, 2010 Hawthorne Gold Cup (G2)

9-2


2010 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1)

Date/Track:
11/5/2010, Churchill Downs
Distance:
1 1/16 m (Turf)
Age/Sex:
2 F

Breeders' Cup Juvenile 2010
Positives
Negatives
  • Route turf win (two turn race)
  • East Coast based
  • BRIS 2nd call and Late Pace = 90+ in one of two final preps

  • New top figure in final prep
  • Long layoff
  • Wire-to-wire running style
*Rank is current Power Ranking among all active horses, based on highest HRN rating. Rating is based on HRN member voting.
#SilksHorse / SireRankRatingTrainer / JockeyLast StartHRN
1Dos Lunas
Hennessy

5.34
J. Glenney
J. Court
6th, 2010 Alcibiades (G1) View Video

30-1
2Tale Untold
Tale Of The Cat

4.79
R. Hannon


15-1
3Quiet Oasis
Oasis Dream

4.12
B. Meehan


8-1
4Kathmanblu
Bluegrass Cat

5.93
K. McPeek
J. Leparoux
1st, 2010 Jessamine (LS) View Video

10-1
5Forest Legend
Forest Camp
427
6.06
V. Oliver
F. Lenclud
5th, 2010 Alcibiades (G1) View Video

30-1
6Arch Support
Arch

5.67
G. Contessa
E. Prado
2nd, 2010 Miss Grillo (G3) View Video

20-1
7Winter Memories
El Prado
415
6.45Trending Up
J. Toner
J. Lezcano
1st, 2010 Miss Grillo (G3) View Video

2-1
8Wyomia
Vindication
423
6.07
D. Vella
E. Ramsammy
1st, 2010 Mazarine (G3)

12-1
9Fancy Point
Point Given

5.93
W. Phipps
J. Castellano
3rd, 2010 Miss Grillo (G3) View Video

15-1
10New Normal
Forestry
323
6.26
M. Frostad
J. Castellano
1st, 2010 Natalma (G3) View Video

10-1
11More Than Real
More Than Ready
421
6.07
T. Pletcher
G. Gomez
2nd, 2010 Natalma (G3) View Video

10-1
12Flood Plain
Orpen

4.45
J. Gosden


20-1
13Together
Galileo

5.12
A. O'Brien
J. Murtagh
2nd, 2010 Fillies Mile (G1) View Video

5-1
14Allure D'amour
Giant's Causeway

5.12
T. Pletcher
J. Velazquez
1st, Bel MSW (10/17/2010-R2)

15-1
15Nina Fever
Borrego

5.07
W. Ward
M. Pedroza
1st, Kee Str (10/16/2010-R2)

30-1

2010 Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint (G1)

Date/Track:
11/5/2010, Churchill Downs
Distance:
6 f (Dirt)
Age/Sex:
3+ F

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf 2010
Positives
Negatives
  • Closer
  • Route to sprint
  • Long layoff from last race
  • Graded stakes win
  • BRIS speed rating of 97+ in final prep

  • New top in final prep
  • No sprint wins past year
  • Wire-to-wire running style
*Rank is current Power Ranking among all active horses, based on highest HRN rating. Rating is based on HRN member voting.
#SilksHorse / SireRankRatingTrainer / JockeyLast StartHRN
1My Jen
Fusaichi Pegasus
35
7.26
E. Kenneally
J. Leparoux
1st, 2010 Gallant Bloom (G2) View Video

15-1
2Sara Louise
Malibu Moon
217
6.48
S. bin Suroor
E. Prado
3rd, 2010 Gallant Bloom (G2) View Video

15-1
3Secret Gypsy
Sea Of Secrets
94
6.90
R. Werner
J. Theriot
1st, 2010 Endine (G3)

12-1
4Informed Decision
Monarchos
17
7.46
J. Sheppard
J. Leparoux
3rd, 2010 Thoroughbred Club of America (G2) View Video

7-2
5Evening Jewel
Northern Afleet
13
7.56
J. Cassidy
V. Espinoza
3rd, 2010 QE II Challenge Cup (G1) View Video

15-1
6Moontune Missy
Forest Wildcat
453
6.05
E. Harty
A. Garcia
2nd, 2010 Gallant Bloom (G2) View Video

30-1
7Gabby's Golden Gal
Medaglia D'oro
322
6.26
B. Baffert
M. Garcia
1st, 2010 Santa Monica (G1) View Video

15-1
8Sweet August Moon
Malibu Moon
291
6.31
B. Koriner
V. Espinoza
5th, 2010 Thoroughbred Club of America (G2) View Video

30-1
9Switch
Quiet American
101
6.88
J. Sadler
A. Quinonez
2nd, 2010 Lady's Secret (G1) View Video

20-1
10Rinterval
Desert Prince

5.34
E. Reed
P. Valenzuela
6th, 2010 Spinster (G1) View Video

20-1
11Jessica Is Back
Put It Back
209
6.49
M. Wolfson
E. Trujillo
3rd, 2010 Ballerina (G1) View Video

12-1
12Dubai Majesty
Essence Of Dubai
40
7.22
W. Calhoun
J. Theriot
1st, 2010 Thoroughbred Club of America (G2) View Video

6-1
13Rightly So
Read The Footnotes
19
7.45
A. Dutrow
C. Velasquez
1st, 2010 Ballerina (G1) View Video

3-1
14Champagne D'oro
Medaglia D'oro
59
7.08
E. Guillot
M. Mena
4th, 2010 Thoroughbred Club of America (G2) View Video

6-1
15Tidal Pool
Yankee Gentleman

5.84
D. Lukas
R. Maragh
8th, 2010 Riskaverse (LS)

30-1
16First Passage
Giant's Causeway
358
6.17
M. Wolfson
S. Bridgmohan
5th, 2010 Ballerina (G1) View Video

30-1


2010 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1)

Date/Track:
11/5/2010, Churchill Downs
Distance:
1 1/16 m (Dirt)
Age/Sex:
2 F

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies 2010
Positives
Negatives
  • Improved figures when stretching out to a route
  • Hit a new top figure in last race, a 95+ Beyer
  • If no 95 Beyer, than increasing figures last 3
  • Gained ground in final turn in a key prep race
  • Stalkes have best win record, mid-pack closers can win. Stalkers dominate place.
  • Closers/stalkers account for 90% of show spot
  • Closers dominate 4th spot

  • Outside post at CD at this distance
  • No in the money stakes finishes
  • More than 60 day layoff
  • Less than 3 starts
  • Previous win at the distance is not required
  • Not having run 1-2 in a stakes race
*Rank is current Power Ranking among all active horses, based on highest HRN rating. Rating is based on HRN member voting.
#SilksHorse / SireRankRatingTrainer / JockeyLast StartHRN
1Indian Gracey
Indian Ocean

4.45
J. Hollendorfer
J. Talamo
3rd, 2010 Oak Leaf (G1) View Video

15-1
2Theyskens' Theory
Bernardini
422
6.07
B. Meehan
R. Moore
3rd, 2010 Fillies Mile (G1) View Video

10-1
3R Heat Lightning
Trippi
416
6.10
T. Pletcher
J. Velazquez
2nd, 2010 Frizette (G1) View Video

4-1
4Awesome Feather
Awesome Of Course
308
6.27
S. Gold
J. Sanchez
1st, 2010 FS My Dear Girl (RS)

6-1
5Harlan's Ruby
Harlan's Holiday
340
6.23
K. McPeek
J. Leparoux
2nd, 2010 Alcibiades (G1) View Video

15-1
6Joyful Victory
Tapit

5.34
A. Dutrow
C. Velasquez
3rd, 2010 Frizette (G1) View Video

15-1
7Izshelegal
Maria's Mon

5.05
T. Knight
M. Smith
4th, 2010 Oak Leaf (G1) View Video

30-1
8A Z Warrior
Bernardini
131
7.06Trending Up
B. Baffert
A. Garcia
1st, 2010 Frizette (G1) View Video

7-2
9Delightful Mary
Limehouse

5.12
M. Casse
C. Fraser
2nd, 2010 Mazarine (G3)

8-1
10Believe In A. P.
A. P. Indy

4.27
R. Dutrow
J. Leparoux
5th, 2010 P. G. Johnson (LS) View Video

15-1
11Soundwave
Friends Lake
275
6.34
R. Werner
T. Thompson
1st, 2010 NATC Futurity (RS) View Video

20-1
12Tell A Kelly
Tapit
229
6.59Trending Up
J. Sadler
A. Quinonez
2nd, 2010 Oak Leaf (G1) View Video

9-2
13Jordy Y
Congrats

5.48
W. Catalano
J. Alvarado
3rd, 2010 Alcibiades (G1) View Video

30-1

2010 Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf (G1)

Date/Track:
11/5/2010, Churchill Downs
Distance:
1 3/8 m (Turf)
Age/Sex:
3+ F

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf 2010
Positives (note will be run at 1 3/8m at CD)
Negatives
  • Ran in this race before
  • Closers dominate win, stalkers strong in place, all 3rd place finishers were closers
  • Race is won with strong move on far turn
  • Euros can come back from 40+ day layoff
  • Upgrade Euro's that ran against boys

  • US runner with 35+ day layoff
  • CA horses have struggled
  • Win at distance is not critical
  • Poor race in Arc not a negative
*Rank is current Power Ranking among all active horses, based on highest HRN rating. Rating is based on HRN member voting.
#SilksHorse / SireRankRatingTrainer / JockeyLast StartHRN
1Plumania
Anabaa
296
6.30
A. Fabre
O. Peslier
16th, 2010 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (G1) View Video

8-1
2Eclair De Lune
Marchand De Sable
43
7.17
R. McAnally
J. Alvarado
1st, 2010 Beverly D. (G1) View Video

15-1
3Miss Keller
Montjeu
164
6.64
R. Attfield
J. Castellano
2nd, 2010 E. P. Taylor (C1) View Video

8-1
4Keertana
Johar
112
6.84
T. Proctor
J. Lezcano
4th, 2010 Flower Bowl (G1) View Video

30-1
5Shared Account
Pleasantly Perfect
167
6.64
H. Motion
E. Prado
5th, 2010 Flower Bowl (G1) View Video

30-1
6Harmonious
Dynaformer
14
7.55
J. Shirreffs
J. Rosario
1st, 2010 QE II Challenge Cup (G1) View Video

6-1
7Midday
Oasis Dream
32
7.28
H. Cecil
T. Queally
1st, 2010 Yorkshire Oaks (G1)

6-5
8Hot Cha Cha
Cactus Ridge
95
6.89
P. Sims
J. Graham
3rd, 2010 Spinster (G1) View Video

30-1
9Hibaayeb
Singspiel
108
6.84
S. bin Suroor
R. Bejarano
1st, 2010 Yellow Ribbon (G1) View Video

8-1
10Red Desire
Manhattan Cafe
154
6.67
M. Matsunaga
K. Desormeaux
3rd, 2010 Flower Bowl (G1) View Video

8-1
11Forever Together
Belong To Me
60
7.08
J. Sheppard
G. Gomez
6th, 2010 Flower Bowl (G1) View Video

10-1

2010 Breeders' Cup Ladies Classic (G1)

Date/Track:
11/5/2010, Churchill Downs
Distance:
1 1/8 m (Dirt)
Age/Sex:
3+ F

Breeders' Cup Ladies Classic 2010
Positives
Negatives
  • 6 to 8 race campaign
  • Sharp prep in last
  • Competitive in G1 race
  • Stalkers dominate bottom of Tris/Supers, closer types do just ok
  • Frontrunners have never finished 3rd/4th
  • In-the-money at this distance
  • Spinster was a key prep in the past

  • Less than 3 races in campaign
  • More than 6-week layoff (unless bullet works and 6f+ work)
  • Posted new Beyer/BRIS top in last prep race (unless 3 year-old)
  • Far outside posts
  • No graded stakes win

*Rank is current Power Ranking among all active horses, based on highest HRN rating. Rating is based on HRN member voting.
#SilksHorse / SireRankRatingTrainer / JockeyLast StartHRN
1Life At Ten
Malibu Moon
10
7.67
T. Pletcher
J. Velazquez
1st, 2010 Beldame (G1) View Video

7-2
2It's Tea Time
Dynaformer
125
6.80
G. Arnold
J. Leparoux
4th, 2010 Spinster (G1) View Video

15-1
3Malibu Prayer
Malibu Moon
138
6.74
T. Pletcher
G. Gomez
2nd, 2010 Molly Pitcher (G2)

8-1
4Milwaukee Appeal
Milwaukee Brew
384
6.14
S. Fairlie
K. Desormeaux
2nd, 2010 Spinster (G1) View Video

30-1
5Acting Happy
Empire Maker
178
6.58
R. Dutrow
J. Lezcano
3rd, 2010 Alabama (G1) View Video

20-1
6Persistently
Smoke Glacken
71
7.02
C. McGaughey
A. Garcia
3rd, 2010 Beldame (G1) View Video

12-1
7Seeking The Title
Seeking The Gold
294
6.30
D. Stewart
R. Albarado
4th, 2010 Indiana Oaks (G2) View Video

30-1
8Unrivaled Belle
Unbridled's Song
46
7.17
W. Mott
K. Desormeaux
2nd, 2010 Beldame (G1) View Video

8-1
9Acoma
Empire Maker
57
7.09
D. Carroll
A. Garcia
1st, 2010 Spinster (G1) View Video

20-1
10Blind Luck
Pollard's Vision
8
7.77Trending Up
J. Hollendorfer
J. Rosario
2nd, 2010 Fitz Dixon Cotillion (G2) View Video

9-5
11Havre De Grace
Saint Liam
9
7.84Trending Up
A. Dutrow
J. Rose
1st, 2010 Fitz Dixon Cotillion (G2) View Video

4-1

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