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Wednesday, December 8, 2010

RAVE- NFL (NOTES)

Week 14 - Thursday December 9, 2010

INDIANAPOLIS @ TENNESSEE

8:20 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







101 IND F317 A290

↑-3

(6-6) (2-4 A)







102 TEN F263 A235 TEN, TEN,

46

(5-7) (2-4 H)







Line Movements

It's been a rough few weeks for the Titans, with no wins or covers in their last five.

Jeff Fisher is just 2-6 vs. line in the last 8 at LP Field.

Titans have lost and failed to cover last 3 vs. Indy after covering previous five.

Manning has thrown 13 interceptions over the last five games.


Week 14 - Sunday December 12, 2010

OAKLAND @ JACKSONVILLE

1:00 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







105 OAK F283 A269 OAK,

43

(6-6) (2-4 A)







106 JAC F257 A300

-4.5

(7-5) (4-2 H)







Line Movements

Jack Del Rio is 3-0 as chalk TY after 0-5 mark in role a year ago.

Jags are 4-2 vs. line as hosts after dropping 16 of 24 spread decisions at home the previous three seasons.
Cable (Oakland) is 0-3 after a division game

Jaguars are 8-1 ATS coming off a 2-game road trip the previous 9 instances.

Jaguars are 9-3 ATS before playing the arch rival Colts since 2004.

Jaguars are 9-19 ATS against non-divisional opponents since 2008.

Jaguars are 3-10 ATS as home favorites since 2008.

CINCINNATI @ PITTSBURGH

1:00 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







107 CIN F255 A322 CIN, CIN,

39.5

(2-10) (1-5 A)







108 PIT F267 A191 PIT

-9

(9-3) (3-2 H)







Line Movements

Road Team has won 9 of the last 12 meetings.

Bengals are 16-5 ATS against the Steelers if they lost to them previously the same season in the last 21 instances.

Cincy continues to skid. They’re now 0-9 SU and 2-7 vs. line last 9 TY as Marvin Lewis' days grow shorter.

Bengals are 3-7 vs. line last 10 away and have dropped 5 of last 7 spread decisions vs. Steelers.

Steelers are 4-4 as chalk TY and just 8-14 in role since '09.

The Bengals have lost five consecutive games at home, which marks the first time in eight years that has happened.

CLEVELAND @ BUFFALO

1:00 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







111 CLE F229 A239 CLE

40.5

(5-7) (2-4 A)







112 BUF F243 A333 BUF

↓-1

(2-10) (1-5 H)







Line Movements

If Chan Gailey is favored, he has an 0-2 chalk mark TY.

Browns have won and covered last three years in series
Gailey (Buffalo) is 0-4 vs non-division opponent.

Mangini (Cleveland) is 5-0 as a road dog.

The Browns have surrendered at least 97 rushing yards to their previous four opponents.

The Bills are 27th against the rush. They've surrendered 376 rushing yards the past two weeks.

Bills are 16-10 ATS at home after Oct. 1 when favored by fewer than 6 points since 2002.

Bills are 17-10 ATS against losing teams since 2006.

The Bills have allowed an opponent to rush for at least 200 yards in a game six times this season.

NEW YORK @ MINNESOTA

1:00 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







113 NYG F308 A247 NYG

↓-2

(8-4) (3-2 A)







114 MIN F227 A253 MIN, MIN, MIN, MIN

44

(5-7) (4-2 H)







Line Movements

This is a Breather Alert for the Giants; they have the Eagles and Packers after this game.

The last time Giants played at Metrodome, it was '09 reg.-season finale and they were blasted 44-7.

Revenge is on the plate here.

Vikes are only 2-5 vs. line last 7 TY but have won and covered both since Leslie Frazier was promoted to HC spot.
Coughlin (N.Y. Giants) is 3-13 off a win of 7 points or more.

GREEN BAY @ DETROIT

1:00 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







115 GNB F303 A182

-6.5

(8-4) (3-3 A)







116 DET F278 A306 DET DET

47

(2-10) (2-4 H)







Line Movements

Major Breather Alert for the Packers; this is their last "easy game;" after this, they have the Patriots, Giants and Bears.

Lions might be running on empty, no covers two of last three TY.

Green Bay has won and covered last four trips to Ford Field.

Packers have won the last 10 meetings.

Packers are 25-13 ATS on the road under Mike McCarthy.

Jim Schwartz is 1-5 ATS as a divisional underdog of 7+.

ATLANTA @ CAROLINA

1:00 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







117 ATL F304 A233

-7

(10-2) (4-2 A)







118 CAR F154 A307 CAR, CAR

42

(1-11) (1-5 H)







Line Movements

Panthers are just 1-5 vs. line at home TY and 3-9 vs. spread overall.

Falcons have won and covered their last 4 TY.

Home Team has won the last 4 meetings.

John Fox is 5-2 ATS as a divisional underdog of 7+.

Panthers quarter­backs have thrown five passes that have been intercepted and returned for touchdowns this season — two by Jimmy Clausen , two by Brian St. Pierre and one by Matt Moore .

TAMPA BAY @ WASHINGTON

1:00 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







119 TAM F243 A251

↓-2

(7-5) (4-2 A)







120 WAS F222 A293 WAS WAS, WAS

41

(5-7) (2-4 H)







Line Movements

Bucs are 6-0 vs. spread away TY.

Skins are 1-4 SU and vs. line last 5 in 2010.

Bucs could be road chalk for first time in 2010, and first time anywhere since 2008 at Lions.

The Redskins are now dead last against the run in terms of YPC. They're the only team surrendering more than 5 YPC

Tampa is 30th against the rush, but has limited its previous three opponents to just 3.5 YPC.

ST. LOUIS @ NEW ORLEANS

4:05 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







121 STL F232 A237

47

(6-6) (2-4 A)







122 NOR F299 A227 NO

-9

(9-3) (4-2 H)







Line Movements

Breather Alert: The Saints have the Ravens, Falcons and Buccaneers after this "easy game."

The Rams have covered 5 of 6 on road TY and 9 of last 11 overall vs. number.

Saints are also stirring a bit but only 2-3-1 vs. line as host TY.

New Orleans also just 8-16-1 vs. line last 25 on board since mid '09.

Teams that have won five or more consecutive games tend not to cover at home, going 26-44 against the spread in this dynamic since 2002. The Saints have been in this position four times under Sean Payton, and are just 1-3 ATS.

SEATTLE @ SAN FRANCISCO

4:05 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







123 SEA F240 A289 SEA

41

(6-6) (2-4 A)







124 SFO F203 A259

-4.5

(4-8) (3-3 H)







Line Movements

Alex Smith is again the 49ers starting QB.

49ers are mathematically out if they lose Sunday to Seattle

Seahawks have won 11 of the last 15 meetings.

This is a revenge game for Niners after an ugly 31-6 opening-day loss.

Pete Carroll is only 2-4 vs. line on road TY

Mike Singletary is 8-4 ATS against divisional opponents.

Seahawks 3-12 vs. number last 15 as visitor. Singletary only 2-6 as chalk TY, however.

NEW ENGLAND @ CHICAGO

4:15 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







109 NWE F379 A269 NE NE

↑-3

(9-2) (4-2 A)







110 CHI F246 A192 CHI, CHI, CHI

41

(9-3) (4-2 H)







Line Movements

For the first time since being traded to the Bears, Jay Cutler has gone back-to-back games w/o an INT.

Teams coming off a win of 17+ points on MNF are 37-22 ATS the following week.

Bears are 5-0 SU and 3-1-1 vs. line since bye week.

Lovie is 5-1 vs. line as a dog TY after 2-7 mark in role LY.

Belichick is only 2-2 as road chalk TY after 1-3 mark in role LY.

MIAMI @ NEW YORK

4:15 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







125 MIA F215 A238 MIA MIA

41

(6-6) (5-1 A)







126 NYJ F267 A232 NYJ, NYJ

↓-5.5

(9-2) (4-2 H)







Line Movements

Teams coming off a loss of 17+ points on MNF are 16-34 ATS the following week since 1999.

Dolphins continue startling road form, now 5-1 SU and vs. line away TY.

Sparano is 16-5 vs. spread last 21 as visitor since early '08.

Dolphins have covered last two as series visitor, but this is first trip to New Meadowlands.

Dolphins are 1-10 ATS after a loss of 6 or fewer points since 2007.

Rex Ryan is only 3-3 vs. line as host TY and 7-7 since '09.

DENVER @ ARIZONA

4:15 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







127 DEN F256 A333 DEN

↑-5

(3-9) (1-5 A)







128 ARI F200 A338 ARI, ARI

42.5

(3-9) (2-4 H)







Line Movements

Broncos announced RB coach Eric Studesville as interim head coach.

Denver is 2-6 vs. line last 8 TY,

Cards are 1-6 last 7 and 2-9 last 11 on board.

NFL teams are 8-2-1 ATS since 2001 in their third straight home game with the line at 4 or less points.

KANSAS CITY @ SAN DIEGO

4:15 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







129 KAN F295 A237 KC

47

(8-4) (2-4 A)







130 SDG F323 A253 SD SD, SD

-7

(6-6) (4-2 H)







Line Movements

Chiefs announce that QB Matt Cassel underwent an appendectomy Wed.

It was laparoscopic surgery on his appedix, which often is less invasive.

Revenge! Norv is 4-1 SU and vs. line in rare in-season revenge since '07 (but lost in role vs. OAK last week).

Home Team has won 18 of the last 25 meetings (Chargers have won 5 of the last 6).

Chiefs are 18-10 ATS as a road underdog since 2007.

Philip Rivers is 16-10 ATS as a starter after Nov. 30.

Norv Turner is 8-3 ATS as a favorite after a loss as a favorite.

PHILADELPHIA @ DALLAS

8:25 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







131 PHI F344 A281 PHI PHI

↑-3.5

(8-4) (4-2 A)







132 DAL F294 A336 DAL

50.5

(4-8) (1-5 H)







Line Movements

Cowboys have won the last 3 meetings.

Cowboys 4-0 vs. line since Jason Garrett took over for Wade Phillips.

Cowboys have covered last 2 at home after dropping previous 4 vs. number as host TY.

Revenge for Andy Reid after Dallas dominated Birds LY, winning and covering three times, including a pair of humbling wins at Arlington (one in the wild card round).

Birds are only 5-6 vs. line TY and 3-3 away.


Week 14 - Monday December 13, 2010

BALTIMORE @ HOUSTON

8:35 PM Game Time

Record







Teams

Odds

Win-Loss







133 BAL F260 A201 BAL, BAL, BAL

-3

(8-4) (3-3 A)







134 HOU F288 A321 HOU

45.5

(5-7) (3-3 H)







Line Movements

Ravens are only 4-6-1 vs. spread in the last 11 on the road, and 2-3 last 5 as road chalk.

Texans are 0-3 SU and 1-2 vs. line all-time vs. Ravens.

Kubiak 5-2 last 7 as home dog since '07.
Harbaugh (Baltimore) is 5-1 vs non-division opponent.

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