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Sunday, November 6, 2011

Tech Trends - Week 9

Tech Trends - Week 9
November 1, 2011
By Bruce Marshall
VegasInsider.com
Sunday, Nov. 6 (1:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Atlanta Falcons at Indianapolis Colts Colts no covers last 4 TY and only 2-6 vs. line in 2011. Indy "over" 6-2 TY. Falcons 10-4 vs. spread last 14 away (though only 1-3 TY) and "over" 6-3 last 9 away. "Over" and Falcons, based on "totals" and team trend.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints Bucs have won last two at NO as road dog. Visitor 4-1 SU and vs. line in series since 2009 although host Bucs won earlier meeting TY. Bucs 12-3 vs. line last 15 as true visitor. But Saints have covered last 3 and 6 of last 7 at Superdome and are 2-0 vs. line off SU loss TY. Slight to Saints, based on recent trends.
Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans Browns only 2-13 vs. spread last 14 on board. Texans "under" 6-2 TY, Cleveland "under" last 3 TY. Texans and "under," based on recent trends.
New York Jets at Buffalo Bills Note that underdog team 6-1 vs. line in Bills games TY. Jets no covers first three TY and last four overall on road. Jets "over" 13-1 last 14 away. Bills "over" 6-1 last 7 since late 2010. "Over," based on "totals" trends.
Miami Dolphins at Kansas City Chiefs Sparano has also dropped 3 of last 5 vs. number away but still 19-8 last 27 vs. line on road. Sparano also "under" 6-1 TY. Chiefs have covered last 5 after Monday win over SD. Slight to Dolphins and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins Harbaugh 6-0-1 vs. line TY. Skins, "under" 10-4 last 14 since mid 2010. 49ers, based on recent trends.
Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys Pete Carroll has covered last two on road after dropping 9 of first 11 vs. spread away. Dallas "over" 9-3 last 12 at home, Pete Carroll "over" 7-2 last 9 away. Dallas 2-7 as home chalk since LY. "Over" and Slight to Seahawks, based on "totals"" and team trends.

Sunday, Nov. 6 (4:05 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders Raiders have won and covered last four in series. Oakland also 9-2 vs. line last 11 in series. "Overs" 7-2 last nine meetings. Denver "over" 21-7 last 27 since late 2009. "Over" and Raiders, based on "totals" and team trends.
Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans Bengals have covered last four and six of last seven TY. Titans just 5-10 vs. spread last 15 as chalk. Bengals, based on team trends.

Sunday, Nov. 6 (4:15 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals Rams 1-6 vs. line TY, also 2-9 last 11 on board. Slight to Cards, based on recent Rams woes.
New York Giants at New England Patriots First non-preseason meeting between these two since Super Bowl XLII. Belichick "under" last two TY but still "over" 20-6 last 26, Giants "over" 5-2 TY. Couglin 14-7 last 21 as road dog since late 2006. "Over" and Giants, based on "totals" and team trends.
Green Bay Packers at San Diego Chargers Pack 7-2 last 9 vs. line on road. Norv 10-6 as dog since 2007 and "under" 7-1 last 8 as host. Packers and Slight to "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

Sunday, Nov. 6 (8:25 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers No team has swept the pointspread decisions in this series since 2006, before Harbaugh or Tomlin had arrived in their current jobs. Ravens won and covered 35-7 in opener. "Overs" 8-4 last 12 in series. Harbaugh only 5-8 last 13 as dog. Ravens however are 4-1-1 vs. line last six reg.-season visits to Heinz Field. Slight to "over," based on "totals" trends.

Monday, Nov. 7 (8:35 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles Bears have won and covered the last two years in series and have won and covered last two as well TY. Bears "under" 7-1-2 last 10 away. Bears and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
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